Do these suspicious bets show proof of insider trading on the US-Iran war ceasefire?

Several users on Polymarket placed bets over the weekend on a possible US–Iran ceasefire that experts say may hint at insider knowledge.

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Eight newly created accounts, set up around 21 March, wagered nearly $70,000 on the outcome. If a ceasefire is agreed before 31 March, those bets could return close to $820,000.

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