Reform UK is making waves ahead of the local elections, but how much has Angela Rayner’s devolution bill and the Rupert Lowe fallout impacted their momentum? Polling data scientist Marwan Riach joins to break down the numbers, revealing that Reform is set to win the second-most council seats, with Doncaster projected to flip from Labour.
But could delayed elections have cost Reform its best chance at victory? And what about the Runcorn by-election, where Lord Ashcroft’s latest poll has them nine points ahead? Is this a sign of a major shift in British politics—or just a temporary bounce?
Plus, Marwan explains why the Conservatives may quietly benefit from Labour’s election delays, and whether Reform’s internal turmoil could see voters stay home on polling day.
#reformuk #election
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