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Tom Harwood examines Andy Burnham’s prospects and explains why the constituency could prove fertile ground for Reform UK, describing the seat as “almost tailor-made” for the party’s insurgent message. With frustrations over immigration, the economy, and trust in mainstream politics continuing to dominate debate, the by-election is shaping up to be a key test of Labour’s appeal in traditional working-class areas that backed Brexit so strongly in 2016.
Meanwhile, More in Common UK Director Luke Tryl takes a closer look at the demographics of the constituency and what they could mean for the final result. From voter turnout and party loyalty to changing political identities across the North of England, this breakdown explores the forces that could decide the outcome, and why the result may have implications far beyond Makerfield itself.
#analysis #reformuk #labour
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